5.15.2016

Trader Profile: Trading Systems

Let's get this out of the way. There is no perfect system. No one size fits all. It's similar to the analogy of the education system as seen in the image. For further info on that do some searching on the web about the fish climbing up the tree analogy.


In layman's terms, it just means that a breakout trader's strategies should be different from an investor or a bottom fisher's strategies. When I say strategy, I mean the buy/sell points, holding period etc. The reason for choosing a system depends on multiple factors and you have to be aware of these factors before entering a trade. Here are a couple of things to consider:

Space & Time:



This refers to how much time you can spend looking at the market. Are you a full-time trader? Can you monitor during the whole day? If you have to work a day job then it would be more dangerous for you to buy very volatile stocks. Stocks that could swing from +/- 10-15% in a day. Can you take that risk?  

Another aspect of time is how long is your holding period? If you see 3-7% gain in your stock do you sell immediately to lock in your profits? Or can you still hold it in case it goes even higher in the coming weeks/months?

Risk Profile: 


This refers to how the way your brain is hardwired. When you see a stock going down do you see it as a buying opportunity or do you avoid it? There are players who are bottom feeders and are happy with a stock going down because they think that it is just retracing and they can get it for cheap or low risk.

The other side of the coin are the momentum players who would only ride stocks that are on the way up. Buy high, sell higher is their motto. 

One more aspect of your risk profile is how much are you able to put in one stock? Do you go all in (something I covered before) or place only 25% of your port in one trade? For those just starting and still finding their system or personality as a trader, I would suggest to place 10% or less in a trade. Just to have some skin in the game. 

Find your system



Going back to the earlier analogy, there is no one size fits all system. You have to stop and reflect on who you are as a person and a trader then make your system fit you. Don't compare yourself to how big someone else's gains are. You don't know their journey and how long it took them to get there. Focus on your own journey and one day you might be the one that others are looking up to. 

Bonus note: 

Just don't try to invert your charts. That is most definitely not a system. It's just pure and utter crazy talk. If it wasn't, then you should be able to see it in all respectable charting software out there.  





4.05.2016

Beware the Siren's call

After browsing through human history, my mainframe was surprised to read about certain creatures in ancient stories.

"In Greek mythology, the Sirens were dangerous yet beautiful
creatures, who lured nearby sailors with their enchanting music and voices to shipwreck on the rocky coast of their island."



What is the significance of the sirens that my mainframe deemed it a worthy read? Well, it seems that sirens are still existing today, they just adapted to the times and come in a different albeit still deadly form. Allow me to elaborate. 

Tell me if you've heard this before, you're browsing the internet and saw something that caught your attention. Someone mentioned a stock will move in the coming days. It's your chance of a lifetime and they want you to get in on it. What luck! This guru just shared an insider secret and you're ready to go all in! Day 1 of 20. 100-500% increase here we come! 

Boom goes the dynamite!


Apologies for popping your proverbial bubble but always, always remember that there is a reason the target prices are out of this world. It's to lure the unsuspecting people and newbies out there. It's very similar to how a MLM or networking scheme works. Blind the other humans with massive potential gains yet don't telling them that there have to be casualties along the way.

Stock market trading is a zero sum game. For someone to earn, someone has to lose. The more people who will believe and sit on a stock because of the belief that it will reach a stated target price, the easier it is for the operators to get out alive. 

Sounds familiar? Isn't it just like the sirens luring sailors with their melodic voices huh? 


So watch out, that dream stock with the heavenly target price that looked so enticing might just come back to get you and drag you to the depths.

3.31.2016

Choosing the right mentor


Just like what a wise creature from a galaxy far, far away once said, there is always an apprentice and a master or mentor. That is the way things work in the universe, wherever you may come from.

In the current stock market setting, multiple mentors have come up in the hopes of guiding or showing newbies the way to profits or even just respectable trading. These mentors have come in all shapes and sizes. 

Given the variety of choices, how do you choose which mentor is the right one? Well, here is a simple analogy on how my mainframe chose to be mentored by the entity known as Zeefreaks. I'll make it easier for the basketball loving fans out there, let's say you were given a choice of being mentored by Gregg Popovich of the San Antonio Spurs or Phil Jackson of the Chicago Bulls/LA Lakers and now NY Knicks.

Here is a list of their achievements:


Gregg Poppovich

5 time NBA champion
3 time NBA coach of the year
Phil Jackson

11 time NBA champion
1 time NBA coach of the year

It looks like a tough decision huh? Like choosing apples and oranges as they say. One doesn't seem to be so different from the other. Both of them are extremely and highly qualified. Their achievements speak for themselves. So they passed the first criteria. Moving on to the next checklist.


Here is a list of their NBA tree (a list of general managers and coaches in the NBA who have trained with either one):


Gregg Poppovich

Phil Jackson


Click the images for a better view

As you can see, the NBA tree of Coach Pop is much more diverse and it's branches have reached to almost a third of the NBA teams. That is quite an achievement! As for Phil's tree, it doesn't look to have too many branches. There seems to be something that limits the passing on of his success to others. 

This trait is what my mainframe puts more weight on. A good mentor should not just be good and inspiring and all that. They should also be able to train people to replicate their success. For what is the point of following or learning from a mentor if you are left in the same state as you were in before following them. The best mentors should take you under their wing and help you to take flight by yourself. 

This is why I think the ZF system stands out from all the rest. There have only been several batches yet the number of successful students have been increasing with the passage of time. We may not have achieved ZF or Kap's level of consistency or foresight but we have all been taught to stand on our own. And I know for a fact that we will continue on our journey in the stock market. Some of us even turning into mentors for new batches as well. 

And that is the mark of an excellent mentor.